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Published Oct 11, 2022

736: Ian Bremmer | The Power of Crisis to Change the World

Explore the dual nature of global crises as Ian Bremmer delves into the potential for transformative change through diplomacy amidst threats like COVID-19 and climate change, while also dissecting China’s geopolitical maneuvers and the rising challenges of cyber warfare and technological dominance.
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  • Pandemic Responses

    Ian Bremmer examines how the COVID-19 pandemic exposed the strengths and weaknesses of global cooperation. He highlights Europe's response, where wealthier nations supported economically weaker ones, creating a stronger EU and reducing Euroskepticism 1. This contrasts with the initial success and subsequent struggles of China due to changing virus dynamics. Bremmer also shares an anecdote about Reagan and Gorbachev, illustrating how crises can foster unexpected cooperation 2.

    Things that you're unwilling to get your ass and gear over, suddenly, when your life is flashing in front of your eyes, suddenly you realize, I can get that happening.

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    He argues that crises often reveal the potential for transformative global collaboration.

       

    Water and Climate

    The discussion shifts to the pressing issues of climate change and water scarcity, which are poised to drive significant migration crises. Bremmer notes that while global warming is a recognized issue, the lack of coordinated action between major powers like the US and China exacerbates the problem 3. He highlights the dire consequences of environmental neglect, such as the deforestation in Brazil, which impacts global ecosystems 4.

    Refugees are going to be created, refugee crises are going to be created as a result of water flooding your city or your island, or lack thereof as well.

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    These challenges underscore the urgent need for international cooperation to address environmental threats.

       

    The Power of Crisis

    Bremmer explores how crises can catalyze positive change and leadership innovation. He cites the recent deal allowing Ukraine to export food as an example of crisis-driven diplomacy 5. Despite political dysfunction, he remains hopeful that crises can lead to the creation of new institutions and leadership that address modern challenges 6.

    Despite that baseline reality of the next decade, we actually can still use these crises to make meaningful progress.

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    Bremmer's perspective is that while crises present significant challenges, they also offer opportunities for transformative global progress.

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