905: A New Civil War in Sudan | Out of the Loop

Transitional Government

The transitional government in Sudan has been a complex interplay between military and civilian components. Dr. Gasim Mohammed explains that the military, led by General Abdel Fattah al-Burhan, and the civilian government, once led by Prime Minister Hamdok, had conflicting interests, particularly regarding national security and foreign alliances 1. This tension escalated when Hemeti, the vice president of the transitional council, attempted to consolidate power by targeting al-Burhan, leading to violent clashes 2.

The military thought they would be able to take care of him in a few days. They had the Air Force, they have those helicopter gunships.

--- Dr. Gasim Mohammed

The result is a stalemate, with both factions unable to secure lasting control over territories, perpetuating instability in the region.

   

Key Political Figures

Key political figures like al-Burhan and Hemeti are central to Sudan's current turmoil. Dr. Gasim Mohammed highlights how these leaders, who once united to overthrow the dictator Omar al-Bashir, are now at odds, each seeking to dominate the political landscape 3. Hemeti's refusal to integrate his Rapid Support Forces (RSF) into the national military has been a significant point of contention, leading to further conflict 4.

They promised democracy but never follow through. Big surprise.

--- Jordan Harbinger

This power struggle has left Sudan in a precarious state, with multiple armed groups vying for control.

   

External Influence

External political influences have significantly impacted Sudan's internal dynamics. Dr. Gasim Mohammed discusses how countries like Russia, Egypt, and Saudi Arabia have vested interests in Sudan, often exacerbating the conflict 5. The involvement of these nations is driven by strategic and economic motives, such as control over the Red Sea and access to Sudan's agricultural resources 3.

The official Russian government position on Sudan: They want access to the Red Sea.

--- Dr. Gasim Mohammed

These external pressures complicate Sudan's path to stability and democracy, as foreign powers continue to influence its political landscape.