Thinking in Probabilities
Spencer and Jordan discuss the importance of thinking in probabilities and shades of gray instead of black and white thinking. They compare it to martial arts and discuss techniques to become a more nuanced and accurate thinker, such as making explicit predictions and tracking their accuracy over time.In this clip
From this podcast

The Jordan Harbinger Show
136: Spencer Greenberg | Cultivating Clearer Thinking for Cloudy Times
Related Questions
How can awareness of cognitive biases improve our decision-making and argumentative skills, as discussed by Jordan Harbinger and Spencer Greenberg in the episode 136: Spencer Greenberg | Cultivating Clearer Thinking for Cloudy Times and the clip Cognitive Bias Insights?
How can you overcome confirmation bias as discussed in the episode 136: Spencer Greenberg | Cultivating Clearer Thinking for Cloudy Times and the clip Probabilistic Thinking?
What are the best exercises to develop a probabilistic mindset?